The other day I urged you to take COVID-19 seriously. But in that post, I said that if you were younger than 60 or didn’t have health problems, the virus probably wouldn’t do anything to you. In retrospect, that was misleading.
A lot of people are saying that we should reopen the economy for people “not vulnerable” to the virus. The thing is, all adults are vulnerable. We’ve all fixated too much on the fatality rate. We also need to look at the hospitalization rate, as well as the ICU rate. This report from the CDC has that information.
What I want to call your attention to, is this chart from the report:
You can see it in terms of percentage of cases in a table format here. The TL;DR is that if you’re an adult and get the virus, you have a 20% chance or higher of ending up in the hospital.
Young adults are far less likely to die from the virus, if they have good care. But being in the ICU is nothing to be blasé about. And if the virus is allowed to run rampant among the “non-vulnerable” and the health systems become overrun, good care may not be available.
Keep this in mind when considering the calls currently being made by politicians and business people to let up on the social distancing and shelter in place policies. There’s a reason health professionals are opposed to those calls.
I get that the economic situation is agonizing. But it’s not like the economy would be robust with an overrun health system.